US-Israeli strikes have compromised Iran’s nuclear facilities, but Iran retains around 440kg of highly enriched uranium. The market for the US obtaining Iranian uranium by May 31 remains ambiguous with no clear odds shift yet. The Iran enriched uranium surrender by April 30 sits at 5% YES, down from 65% just a week ago. Traders…
BridgeTower Capital has officially deployed Chainlink’s full infrastructure stack to tokenize securities tied to the DOM X Arizona Copper-Gold Project, an $11 billion US natural resource initiative, in what the companies describe as live production infrastructure rather than a pilot. Summary BridgeTower Capital is using Chainlink’s complete stack, including CCIP, Proof of Reserve, NAVLink, and…
The x402 protocol has revived the HTTP 402 status code from 1997, enabling AI agents to pay for API calls using USDC embedded in HTTP headers. AWS Bedrock has integrated x402, making it the first major cloud provider to embed crypto payment rails at the infrastructure level. On Polymarket, the USD.AI FDV above $300M one…
Morgan Stanley Investment Management launched the Stablecoin Reserves Portfolio on April 23, a government money market fund exclusively designed to hold the cash reserves backing stablecoin issuers’ outstanding tokens, positioning the Wall Street giant to capture reserve management business ahead of the GENIUS Act’s expected passage. Summary Morgan Stanley Investment Management launched the Stablecoin Reserves…
The White House has unveiled a plan to counter AI theft by Chinese firms, focusing on cooperation with US AI companies. The market for Alibaba having the best AI model by April 2026 is under pressure, while the likelihood of Trump visiting China by May 31 sits at 70% YES. Market reaction Traders in the…
The Senate voted 46 to 51 on April 22 to defeat a war powers resolution that would have directed the president to withdraw US armed forces from hostilities against Iran without congressional authorization, marking Democrats’ fifth consecutive failure to advance the measure since the conflict began on February 28. Summary The Senate voted 46-51 to…
Andy Burnham is reportedly eyeing a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer, pushing the “Starmer out by June 30, 2026?” contract to 46.5% YES, up from 41% a day ago. Burnham’s potential move and Labour’s sliding prospects drove the shift. The December 31, 2026 contract sits at 68.5% YES, reflecting a longer-term view of Starmer’s vulnerability….
The House Foreign Affairs Committee advanced two bipartisan bills on April 23 that would give Congress direct oversight authority over US AI chip exports to China and other adversaries, in a direct challenge to the Trump administration’s handling of advanced semiconductor sales. Summary The House Foreign Affairs Committee advanced two bipartisan bills on April 23…
Grayscale staked 102,400 ETH, valued at $237M, through its Ethereum Staking ETF. The Polymarket contract on Ethereum’s price hitting $10,000 by December 31, 2026, sits at 4% YES. Market reaction The December 31 contract remains at 4% YES, unchanged over the past week. Traders appear to read this as a long-term adoption signal rather than…
Here’s what’s new and catching attention around XRP, ETH, and DOGE. Ripple’s cross-border token has slightly retraced over the past week, yet certain indicators suggest that it might be transitioning to a bullish trend. Ethereum (ETH) failed to reach $2,500, and analysts are now divided on its short-term performance. Dogecoin (DOGE) remains the biggest…
