New York Attorney General Letitia James has secured more than $5 million from crypto platform Uphold. Summary Uphold will pay over $5 million directly to customers affected by the failed CredEarn product. New York said CredEarn users were not told about risky lending behind advertised returns clearly. The settlement adds to New York’s wider enforcement…
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24% a day ago, and 39% YES for May 31, up from 38%. The WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is expected to rise, reflecting tensions in the region. ## Key Takeaways – The…
The US Securities and Exchange Commission has scheduled a CLARITY Act roundtable for May, bringing together SEC and CFTC officials with crypto industry representatives to debate digital asset market structure jurisdiction, one of the final regulatory steps before the Senate Banking Committee’s expected markup the week of May 11. Summary The SEC roundtable on the…
## Market Snapshot The market for “Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief” is currently unclear, with active sub-markets showing uncertainty. The “Iran surrendering enriched uranium by December 31, 2026” market is priced at 32% YES, down from 34% previously. The “US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31” market is priced at 10% YES,…
Within the last 15 months ending March 2026, the market cap of tokenized RWAs more than tripled from $5.42 billion to $19.32 billion. Last year was a significant one for real-world assets (RWAs), as the sector saw intensified competition, regulatory progress, and an influx of traditional institutional players. In fact, the RWAs sector performed…
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told the House Armed Services Committee on April 30 that the Pentagon is running classified Bitcoin programs on two operational tracks — enabling the technology and countering it — and that those efforts provide the United States leverage against China “in a lot of different scenarios.” Summary Hegseth said “I am…
## Market Snapshot Spirit Airlines Shutdown market is priced at 100% YES for the question regarding shutdown or liquidation by May 31. This marks a significant increase from 74% just 24 hours ago and 24% a week ago. ## Key Takeaways – The news of Spirit Airlines ceasing operations appears to confirm a YES outcome…
Bitcoin is trading at $78.3k as the first weekend of May opens. It has done something it has not managed since the cycle peak, which is closing above the 100-day MA and breaking out of a long-term descending channel that contained the entire bearish trend. The move comes alongside strong daily RSI readings, a successful…
President Trump signed an executive order on April 30 directing the Labor Department to allow Trump retirement account access to cryptocurrency, private equity, and other alternative assets inside US 401(k) plans, targeting the roughly $12.5 trillion defined-contribution market that has been largely closed to digital assets under existing ERISA guidance. Summary The executive order instructs…
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market shows 0.4% YES for May 3, 2026, as participants weigh geopolitical tensions. The WTI Crude Oil Prices market is not currently displaying specific odds but is relevant given the geopolitical context. ## Key Takeaways – Beijing’s directive to Chinese firms appears to increase U.S.-China tensions, suggesting a…
