Trump’s control over Israeli military actions in Lebanon has pushed the odds of a ceasefire endorsement before April 30 to 100% YES. Trump’s role in extending the U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon makes a formal endorsement before the deadline all but certain, which will resolve the April 30 ceasefire market at 100% YES. The…
AFP Protección, Colombia’s second-largest pension fund administrator, managing approximately $55Bn across more than 8.5 million clients, has launched a new portfolio product that includes Colombia Bitcoin exposure, marking the second major Colombian pension institution to make this move in under a year. The detail most headlines are missing, though, is that this isn’t a fund…
Under the current rules, every asset in a specific trust must independently clear the SEC’s eligibility bar. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed a rule change yesterday that would make it much easier to list crypto investment products that hold XRP alongside Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL). The filing formally…
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only. BTC cloud mining gains momentum in 2026 as AJC Mining expands access to remote mining contracts. Summary AJC Mining gains attention in 2026 with cloud BTC mining, flexible contracts, and no-hardware mining access. Cloud…
Israeli air strikes hit Hezbollah positions north of the Litani River in Lebanon. The odds of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 sit at 100% YES, unchanged. Both the April 30 and June 30 markets hold at 100% YES with no movement despite the strikes. Traders are not pricing in any ceasefire disruption. With 67…
Anthropic’s implied pre-IPO valuation has crossed $1 trillion on Jupiter’s Prestocks market. Summary Anthropic’s implied pre-IPO valuation crossed $1 trillion on Jupiter after a 733% surge since October. Forge Global also priced Anthropic near $1 trillion, while Hiive valued the company at $851 billion. Kalshi puts Anthropic’s 2026 IPO odds at 59% as private AI…
Trump’s imminent declaration of victory over Iran suggests a shift toward de-escalation. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 have dropped to 7.5% YES, down from 8% yesterday. Traders adjusted odds across related markets. The Iranian regime fall by April 30 market remains at 0.2% YES, showing minimal expectation of regime collapse…
Solana validator clients Anza and Firedancer have introduced a test version of Falcon, a post-quantum signature solution built to prepare the network for future quantum risks. Summary Anza and Firedancer added early Falcon versions to prepare Solana for possible future quantum attacks. Jump Crypto said Falcon-512 has the smallest signature among selected NIST post-quantum standards….
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned businesses working with Iranian airlines of potential US sanctions. The US-Iran diplomatic meeting market, which predicts no qualifying meeting by June 30, sits at 19.3% YES, up from 9% a day ago. The warning is part of the broader US “Economic Fury” campaign aimed at pressuring Tehran. Odds for no…
The asset’s price may retrace in the short term before giving trades a better opportunity to open long positions. Earlier this month, it seemed like Ethereum (ETH) was on its way to reclaim $2,500, but the bears intercepted the move. Currently, the asset trades at around $2,300, and some analysts believe a more substantial…
