The US, Iran, and mediators are in talks for a potential 45-day ceasefire. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are at 1% YES, down from 12% last week. The April 7 market is pessimistic at 1% YES, a drop from 12% a week ago. The April 15 market is at 6.5% YES, down from…
The report added that this ceasefire deal could lead to a permanent end to the Iran war. Following a highly uneventful weekend with little to no price action, bitcoin’s volatility returned on Monday morning after the numerous threats, and the asset jumped to $69,600 to mark a multi-day peak. Perhaps the most evident reason…
Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor’s latest post suggests the firm may once again resume its weekly Bitcoin purchases after a brief pause. Summary Saylor signaled a return to weekly Bitcoin purchases after a one-week pause broke the firm’s accumulation streak. Strategy last bought about $77 million in BTC on March 23 and may have capacity for…
Ceasefire odds by April 7 are at 1% YES, down from 12% a week ago. Talks involve the US, Iran, and mediators pushing for a 45-day ceasefire to restart negotiations. Traders remain skeptical. The April 7 market is nearly flat, showing doubt about immediate progress. The April 15 and April 30 markets show slight optimism,…
New findings by CoinMarketCap indicate that derivatives markets are now the primary driver of trading volume across leading crypto exchanges. Cryptocurrency exchange activity continues to be heavily concentrated and largely driven by derivatives trading, according to the latest report by CoinMarketCap. In fact, data showed that a small group of major platforms dominates overall…
Michael Saylor said Bitcoin no longer follows the traditional four-year cycle tied to halving events. He said the market has moved into a new phase where capital flows and credit now shape price direction. Summary Michael Saylor said Bitcoin no longer follows the four-year halving cycle seen in prior markets. He said capital flows, bank…
Iran’s push for a 45-day ceasefire signals a tougher stance, making a ceasefire by April 7 unlikely. The market for this date is at 1% YES, down from 12% last week. Traders expect a prolonged conflict. The April 7 market is a long shot at 1% YES. The April 15 market shows slight optimism at…
Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $66,749 at press time, while market activity stayed muted across major digital assets. Summary Bitcoin traded near $66,749 as low volatility and weak liquidity kept traders watching for moves. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe said Bitcoin may sweep liquidity before a fast recovery upward. EGRAG CRYPTO said past Bitcoin cycle bottoms…
A loud explosion rocked Tehran, while an Iranian missile hit a building in Haifa. Odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 are at 14% YES, up from 12% yesterday. The Tehran explosion and Haifa strike highlight the conflict’s volatility. The June 30 market shows a slight uptick in odds, reflecting trader concerns over…
Bitcoin is showing mixed signals as on-chain data points in two different directions. Summary CryptoQuant said record Bitcoin inflows to accumulation addresses showed whales were quietly building positions daily. XWIN Research Japan said STH-SOPR near one showed short-term holders were selling at losses. Negative Coinbase Premium showed weak US demand, keeping Bitcoin bottom confirmation out…
